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Rogers, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Rogers AR
National Weather Service Forecast for: Rogers AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Updated: 7:50 pm CDT Jun 28, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Slight Chance
Showers
Sunday

Sunday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 100. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Clear
then Chance
T-storms
Monday

Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the morning.
Partly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy
then Slight
Chance
Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Lo 71 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 67 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 69 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Flood Advisory
 

Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
 
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 100. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Monday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph.
Independence Day
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Rogers AR.

Weather Forecast Discussion
885
FXUS64 KMEG 282341 AAA
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
641 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 629 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

- Slightly cooler daytime temperatures are expected through
  midweek next week, due to increased cloud cover and scattered
  to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day.

- Hot and humid conditions will return on Independence Day and
  persist through the holiday weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Friday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

A much more seasonal day across the Mid-South with temperatures
in the upper 80s to lower 90s and heat indices hovering in the
upper 90s to lower 100s. The latest radar scan shows widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Mid-South, with the
highest concentration of convection over west Tennessee. The
concern for bouts of flooding remains elevated (>30%) for this
afternoon and evening. A combination of high PWATs (99th
percentile for this time of year) and slow storm motion (easterly
at 10 knots or less) remains in place. Outside of any flooding,
pulse-type storms containing gusty winds and small hail are
anticipated this afternoon and evening.

Convective activity looks to persist beyond sundown this evening
as numerous outflow boundaries collide and a few cold pools
interact. HREF guidance suggests most of this activity will be
anchored near the Mississippi River through late evening and
slowly diminish overnight.

Increased cloud and convective coverage is expected on Sunday as
upper level heights slightly decrease in response to a transiting
Upper Mississippi Valley trough. PoPs will be in the 40 to 60
range throughout much of the day.

Cooler temperatures and widespread rainfall (40 to 60 PoPs) will
persist through midweek as a mid-level trough skirts across the
Lower Mississippi Valley. This trough will help push a cold front
through the entire Mid-South on Tuesday. Slightly drier air will
work its way into areas north of I-40 by Wednesday morning, with
low temperatures at a few locations falling into the upper 60s by
Wednesday morning. The Mid-South will remain in weak northwest
flow through late week, keeping rain chances low and air
temperatures moderate.

Heat and humidity will build back into the Mid-South on
Independence Day as an upper level ridge moves in from the west.
The holiday weekend looks rather hot and humid with triple digit
heat indices returning. Heat headlines may be needed as we get
closer in time.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Atmosphere around MEM should be fairly worked over from storms.
Surface wind direction will be highly variable in direction given
the recent storm outflows. Given upstream storms over AR, a TEMPO
TSRA has been retained for MEM this evening. This TEMPO may be
removed pending upstream storm trends on KLZK radar.

Similar conditions expected on Sunday, given strong convective
instability and high atmospheric moisture content.

PWB


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 315 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Fire weather concerns will remain very low as rain chances and
humidity remain high. 20 foot winds will stay below 10 knots
over the next several days. Shower and thunderstorm activity will
decrease by late week as temperatures heat back up.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...PWB
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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