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Rogers, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Rogers AR
National Weather Service Forecast for: Rogers AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Updated: 3:50 pm CDT Jul 14, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm.  Patchy fog after 4am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Chance
T-storms and
Patchy Fog
Tuesday

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms and
Patchy Fog
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Wednesday

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunny then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly Clear

Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 72 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Flood Watch
 

Tonight
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Tuesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. South wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 94. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Rogers AR.

Weather Forecast Discussion
306
FXUS64 KMEG 141732
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1232 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1103 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

- Scattered thunderstorms continue each day, mainly in the
  afternoon hours to early evening hours. Some storms could
  produce heavy rainfall and strong winds.

- Hot and humid conditions will remain across the Mid-South, with
  high temperatures generally in the low to mid 90s. Heat indices
  will likely exceed 105 degrees for some by midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Sunday)
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

A weak trough over the Ohio Valley will continue to deamplify this
afternoon as it shifts east, exerting less influence on the
Midsouth. A look at midday satellite imagery as compared to
yesterday suggests that influence may already be minimal as a
robust cu-field has not yet developed. Nevertheless, clearer skies
will likely lead to warmer temperatures resulting in a more
typical diurnal pattern for convection. Additionally, a couple of
midlevel weaknesses in the upstream ridge over eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas should approach the Midsouth later this
afternoon/evening. The resulting slight height falls from
northeast Arkansas, east across the Bootheel into northwest
Tennessee will help to destabilize the atmosphere. Will maintain
the 50-60 percent PoPs across northwest Tennessee. After sunset,
we should see a quicker decrease in both coverage and intensity of
storms as compared to yesterday. Afternoon high temperatures
should reach the upper 80s to low 90s before convective
initiation.

Persistence is often the best forecast tool this time of year.
Atmospheric moisture values will remain elevated (at or above 2
inches) through the work week with high temperatures in the low to
middle 90s, so afternoon thunderstorms should develop each day. A
25-35% coverage each day would be a good bet. Guidance continues
to suggest a warming trend during the work week, but that seems
to be a pattern that models have been forecasting for the past
7-10 days and it really has not panned out. Nevertheless,
confidence is increasing that by Wednesday and Thursday we will
see heat indices above 105 degrees across portions of the
Midsouth. NBM probability of temperatures above 95 degrees
approaches about 50% Wednesday in portions of north Mississippi
and southwest Tennessee. By Thursday, much of the same area is
between 50% and 60%. Thursday looks to be our warmest day of the
7 day forecast period. We will likely continue to evaluate the
need for any heat headlines on a day by day basis.

The National Hurricane Center now has a 30% chance of tropical
development in the northern Gulf during the middle to later part
of the work week. Although no direct impact from a tropical system
is expected in the Midsouth, some tropical moisture could
eventually make it into our area next weekend. Either way,
slightly cooler temperatures are expected to return to the region
Saturday and Sunday.

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

VFR TAFs with the a 30% - 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms
this afternoon and tomorrow. Widespread cumulus has yet to mature
into showers and thunderstorms as of 17z today, which is
significantly later than yesterday. As such, have moved any
mention of TS a few hours further into the TAF period, but storms
are still expected to develop this afternoon. After 02z - 03z,
storms should wane in coverage with VFR through tomorrow morning.
Expect more storms to develop tomorrow afternoon with similar
impacts to today.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Prevailing hot and humid conditions through the foreseeable
future, with afternoon thunderstorm chances each day. As such, no
fire weather concerns are in the forecast. Temperature will trend
warmer through Thursday.


&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...JAB
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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